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This Concept Map, created with IHMC CmapTools, has information related to: Review of Future Babble - outline, Notice fulfilled predictions facilitated by The predictor wanting as many people as possible knowing he/she had a correct prediction, Chapter 4 both chapters 3&4 are similar to Treatments of heuristics and biases offered in so many popular psychology books now but well woven into the theme of this book so interesting rather than tiresome even for someone who has read extensively in this area., Guided tour of common thinking biases especially troublesome for forecasting including Hindsight bias, Subtitle in Canada, That unpredictable world explains Impossibility of accurate prediction in complex systems, Anchoring and adjustment we Allow a number in mind, even an unrelated random number to influence our estimate of a quantity, Experts none of which Provide useful predicitons as much as reducing our internal sense of uncertainty, Future Babble with Subtitle, Look for predictions from Experts, Tour of heuristics and biases this time focusing on those that keep us expecting the future to be a simple continuation of past trends including Group think, USA Why Expert Predictions Are Next to Worthless, and You Can Do Better, Chapter 1 is Introduction, Representative heuristic we Allow detailed scenarios building on "typical" situations and characteristics to seem more likely to occur than more generally described scenarios, Subtitle in USA - Paperback, Future Babble is Based on work of Philip Tetlock, Guided tour of common thinking biases especially troublesome for forecasting including Illusion of control, Future Babble is Entertaining, Guided tour of common thinking biases especially troublesome for forecasting including Overconfidence, Future Babble contains Chapter 5, In the minds of experts provides Guided tour of common thinking biases especially troublesome for forecasting